Showing posts with label Middle East. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Middle East. Show all posts

Wednesday, March 7, 2012

Zhirinovsky: third world war will begin on summer 2012


This year there will be four years since the beginning of russian-georgian war. Since that time there are still tensions between both states, nevertheless the puzzle is much more complicated. 

There is probability, that the conflict which can start between Iran and Israel can easily spread across neighbouring countries. The first, which will be endangered at the first time is surely Syria. Its president who still remains in power, Bashar Al-Assad had noticed that: 

"Syria is the hub now in this region. It is the fault line, and if you play with the ground you will cause an earthquake."

One look at the map will prove that Assad can be right. Syria can be considered as the gate into the Middle East. 

Vladimir Zhirinovsky/
fot. A. Sdobnikov 
But north to Syria there is also another important and dangerous region - Southern Caucasus, where local states are not only bordering but they are also closely connected with the states which will most probably engage in the coming conflict (Russia, Turkey, Israel, Iran). They have their own interests as well.

Let's call up here the words of famous controversial Russian politician, Vladimir Zhirinovsky. He claims that The Third World War will break this summer:

“Azerbaijan might take advantage of that state to re-seize Nagorno Karabakh. TheRepublic of Armenia will act in opposition to it, while Turkey will support Azerbaijan. That’s how we’ll (Russia - VO) in summer be caught in a war” 

Not very optimistic perspective, but is it possible to come true? What would Georgia do?

Monday, January 9, 2012

Turkey: New Cold War is coming

According to the authorities in Ankara, the Middle East is close to a new cold war. This time the conflict is going to take place between two islamic traditions - Sunni and Shiite.

As Turkish foreign minister, Ahmet Davutoglu stated just before his take off to Iran, there are people who are willing to start another cold war. What is more, this war can become a "suicide" for a whole Middle Eastern region. He also added that they are determined to prevent these trends. 

Davutoglu has gone to Iran on Wednesday to discuss Tehran's nuclear programme as well as the situation in the neighbouring countries - Iraq and Syria. 

The tensions between Sunni and Shiia are very important for the relations between the states of the whole region, especially Iran and Saudi Arabia. Both countries want to take as much control over the Persian Gulf as possible. 


Tuesday, January 3, 2012

Middle East - it is not safe there


It is almost one year after the Arab Spring had beagun. It was supposed to be the beginning of the great change in the Middle East and perhaps idealists were expecting that the things will go better. They were probably connecting the regime change with a greater stability, freedom and safety. While it is surely too early to conclude what would be the results of the spring protests, it is worth to search informations from the region. 

We are still pretty far from having sheikh Nazim prophecies coming true. He warned us that in the month of Muharram (between November and December) there will be a great war in the Middle East, he suggested to everyone that they should stay in their homes for at least few days. 

What is the level of security seen by the independent analytics and advisors? In their opinion many organisations should verify their strategies of functioning in many countries in the nearest future. 

source: Maplecroft/Statrisks.com
(please be apologized for the resolution)

As they claim the risk of war has increased recently in several countries, the most dangerous areas are obviously the Middle East and Africa. 

In a special conflict risk index there are 12 countries considered as the "extreme risk" states. Following list contains the first ten of them: 

1. Afghanistan
2. Côte d’Ivoire
3. Iraq
4. Libya
5. Pakistan
6. South Sudan
7. Syria
8. Nigeria
9. Somalia
10.Yemen

We can see from the map above, that not only Africa and Middle East are in danger. Almost whole Asia i considered as the "high-risk" - this would explain recent events in this area and new alliances.

On the other hand we can see that Poland is once again a "green island", this time in security. We are safer than the majority of West European countries and our Eastern neighbours, with Ukraine at risk of a civil war. 

It is also interesting that in the previous index Libya was on 120th position and this year it has "advanced" to fourth. Does it mean that the rank is unnacurrate? Only year ago there were few who expected that the richest country in Northern Africa will suddenly change. We live in the time of dynamical changes, that is why it is very hard to say where we are really safe. 


Wednesday, December 7, 2011

Sorrounded Iran

If anyone had any doubts that the whole mess in the Middle East is not about Iran but some other country, please have a look on this map.


source: japanfocus.org

It takes a lot of time to create such a net around Islamic Republic. That is why we can easily see that if it was attacked today it wouldn't be an accident. 


Tuesday, December 6, 2011

The prophecies of the Muslim patriarch

There are many prophecies telling us what will happen in the future. The vast mayority is connected with the year 2012 and what will happen in coming months. At the same time we know almost only these prophecies which are connected with our culture, especially with Christianity. Is it possible that similiar words can be heard from Muslims? 

Very interesting are especially prophecies of Mohamed Nazim El-Hakkani, a Sufi from Cyprus and the leader of the Naqshbandi Order, one of major sufi orders. He was born in 1922 and is a member of an old family descending from the 13th century poet and mistic Jalaluddina Rumi. Nazim predicted the political changes in the Middle East long before they started. 

He says that the great events will take place at the beginning of the month of Muharram, which in islamic tradition is the first month of the year. The month Muharram had begun on November 26th 2011 (the beginning of the next will be on November 15th 2012). 

We Await Muharram

All the countries now are covered with darkness, darkness (...) I am looking for the month of Muharram when, if something happens, this world will be like this.(upside down - Orwellsky) (...) The Prophet (s) informed us that there will be troubles and quarrelling among the Arabs. Now the Arabs are divided (...)But these troubles (among Arabs) must end in Muharram (...) We will see: if there is movement, everyone must stay where they are. They should not come and go or move around, no! The tenth day of Muharram, if what was supposed to happen happens, in Muharram and Safar al-khayr, millions will perish! (...)
What happened in Egypt is from His severe punishment and the same happened in Libya, Yemen, Tunisia, Algeria and in Syria! 

Take Precaution In The Month of Muharram 

The first of Muharram will be on Saturday (November 26). This month Dhul Hijjah is 29 days, meaning Saturday is more correct.
Allah (swt) knows what will take place and what will happen during the month of Muharram; therefore, if there is no urgency or absolute necessity, there is no need to travel, not to America, not to Europe. You have to take precaution and be careful and attentive. 
Maybe WWIII will start in the Middle East and the Russian army may reach to the plain of Amuq in Syria. The war will take place. Allah (swt) will make Islam victorious and support it and open the way to Turkey. Allah (swt) may open the way to Istanbul. From there, the sultan will come and enter Istanbul, and Imam Mahdi (a) is still present in the movement, but he is not appearing yet. 
Maybe this event will take place in the month of Rajab or after, when Imam Mahdi (a) will enter Istanbul. This means that the region of the Middle East is on fire. The army will come from Damascus against the Russian army and the hand of Imam Mahdi (a) is with the army, but he himself is not present or appearing. 
I am not afraid, but rather cautious of the occurence of Armageddon as the time is very near! Therefore, in the month of Muharram everyone must be careful and take precaution. They should not move like this, like that. Without absolute necessity, do not move! Everyone must remain in their areas and in their homes (stay where they are).  
It means do not go out of your homes unless absolutely necessary. Keep yourselves in your homes as the one who stays in his or her home is in safety and security, but he who goes out is in danger as something may hit him. 
Therefore, every person according to their situation and possibility, should keep stocks (of food) in their homes so they may not be needy. And you do not know, the grocery shops may be closed and you may not find anything. You may then find something in your house, and from what you stocked for you and your family for twenty days by divine permission and blessing may last forty days. If a person may buy extra, more than his family’s needs, and he asks to grant to the poor people who come and knock at his door, he may also reach them. By the divine generosity of Allah (swt) and by His favor and blessing, if you spend something on the poor servants of Allah (swt) He will increase the provision in your home without you knowing it. Do you understand?



Another interesting case is that for Shia Muslims Muharram is one of the major months of the year, while the 10th of Muharram is a day of sorrow. There is not much time to have Nazim's prophecy fullfilled.

Monday, December 5, 2011

Russians are arming Syria

According to the anonymous military sources published by Interfax agency, Russia has delivered anti-cruise S-300 missiles to Syria.

Russian ships which have arrived to Syria had on their board missiles which, as the agency sources claim, "allow coverage of entire Syrian coastline". 

Russia didn't accept the UN, Arab League and Western Europe states calling for an arms embargo on Syria. During the UN Security Council summit in October Russia together with China didn't agree on Council's resolution to condemn Assad's government. According to Moscow officials resolution could open the door for Western intervention like it hapenned in Libya.
Sergei Lavrov
fot. Mikhail Ewstafiew

During the press conference on Tuesday, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov has stated that a similar move against Libya had proved one-sided: ""We know how that worked in Libya when the arms embargo only applied to the Libyan army. The opposition received weapons, and countries like France and Qatar publicly spoke about it without shame."

"Israel National News" informed that Moscow is considering potential Western attack on Syria as a "red line" which will not be tolerated. 

Earlier that week the media informed about the visit of Russian aircraft-carrying missile cruiser "Admiral Kuznecov" which will soon arrive to the port in the city of Tartus.


Saturday, August 27, 2011

Libya - the dictator's war


After a long time, on 15 August the Libyans were again able to hear the voice of Muammar Gaddafi on the radio. The Libyan leader urged his citizens to armed struggle, which would free the country from the "traitors and NATO." Although it will soon be six months since NATO troops have launched operation "Odyssey Dawn," the dictator, as he had previously announced, does not intend to give up and wants to fight to the end. The end of what? Does Libya have any special meaning? What is it that it has, if it can mobilize a well-equipped army? Why did the Western countries agree so quickly? Is not this Africa where millions of people die without any attention? Why is it that for some charity music concerts are held, and for the others millions of dollars are spent on bombs? Seen in this light, what is the history of the man whose faith is watched by the whole world?

Right after Fidel

After Fidel Castro's resignation from office, he became the longest-ruling non-monarch in the world. At the same time, however, he never served as president or prime minister, using the title of the leader of the revolution and firmly maintaining that power in Libya belongs to the people. He started as a revolutionary and would soon become a terrorist financing bombings, but later became docile when put up against the wall. He would be a guest of presidents and prime ministers of major world powers.

Muammar Gaddafi was, for many years, a politician supporting terrorism. It was him ho after a three-year trial was found responsible for funding the attacks which ended in crash of a Pan Am airplane in Lockerbee, southern Scotland, in 1988. The support for terrorists officially ended when an embargo was posed contributing to the country's destabilization. However, this did not result in Gaddafi being overthrown. He became more liberal after a couple of years, paid huge compensation and, which probably turned out the decisive factor, he opened the national market for western companies. The dictator decided to buy a pardon and became a figure if not accepted, then surely tolerated on the international arena. He was regarded as an impulsive eccentric who, during a foreign visit never slept in a building, ordering a Bedouin tent pitch to be put up on a hotel lawn. The essence of his character transpires from a scandal that occurred several years ago when his son was arrested by the Swiss police for mistreatment of service. Gaddafi immediately ordered all Swiss companies to leave Libya and the postulated in the international forum the partition of Switzerland. Despite these excesses he was tolerated, while enjoying special affinity with the Italian Prime Minister, Sylvio Berlusconi.

Money coming from oil trade was well invested. Libya is a poor, desert country in which infrastructure, including hospitals and schools, was built. Unlike its neighbors, it has a relatively low degree of illiteracy and few Libyans decided to emigrate.

Day of Wrath and Al-Qaeda

Under the banner of democratization of Islamic countries, American analysts have created a concept of "Greater Middle East". This idea to be realized requires a part of local rulers to be removed. Therefore it is hard to believe that the so-called "Arab Spring" was a spontaneous grassroots movement of people fed up with dictatorship. Just as during the "revolution" in Serbia, Kiev or Georgia, the people who inspired the movements, had undergone training in American NGOs. The events of 2011 differed only in that the protesters made full use of modern means of communication such as Facebook and Twitter.

When the former rulers were overthrown in Tunisia and Egypt, it seemed that it was time for Libya, but here, as it turned out, the case was not that simple.

I find it puzzling that in an interview given for the BBC on February 28, Gaddafi claimed that Al-Qaeda stands behind all the revolutions in the Arab world. These words were confirmed in an announcement of 15 August, when he said that the rebels are Al-Qaeda's agents. Al-Qaeda operating for the U.S.? When someone is accustomed to what (s)he hears in the major mass media, (s)he may be surprised because officially this organization is in open conflict with the countries of the West. In fact, many analysts have for years been pointing out that both Al Qaeda and its famous allegedly late leader, Osama Bin Laden, were from the beginning under the control of the CIA.

Gaddafi's words about al-Qaeda influences in Benghazi and the surrounding area can be confirmed by the fact that the eastern part of the country for years was a center where Al-Qaeda recruited the largest number of suicide bombers, it is where the leader of the Syrian rebellion fled after its brutal suppression by the army of president Assad.

The eastern city of Benghazi is where the protests first started, and then a rebel movement against the government of Gaddafi concentrated, is one more important reason. The city is host to many foreign oil companies that have obtained access to Libyan economy after the first Gulf War.

The question of the rebels' equipment remains unclear. Already one week after beginning of the riots it turned out that they were armed to the extent that allowed to defeat the regular Libyan army. Were they also trained? When on March 19, 2011 operation "Odyssey Dawn" started, information showed up saying that Western aid to the rebels does not only include bombing the government buildings, but also sending weapons. Before his mysterious death on July 28, Gen. Abdul Fattah Younis, a former cabinet minister and leader of the rebel army, admitted that they receive arms delivery from the "friends" whose identity he did not want to reveal. At the same time Great Britain admitted sending about 1,000 sets of body armor for the infantry.

Causes of war - conspiracy theory?

When we take into account the fact that Gaddafi enjoyed a relative support among his citizens and that the revolutions were inspired from the outside, it good to ask yourself what led the U.S., Britain and France to take part in the attack on Libya? For several months a few reasons reasons are officially given.

A piece of information which appeared on the Internet after the start of the civil war in Libya caused a lot of noise. It was said that this country was carrying out a huge investment in the form of irrigation system, which by means of large pumps and piping was to deliver precious water from underground springs beneath the Sahara. This country, though rich in oil, is affected by continuous water and food deficits. This is partly the reason why the embargo imposed on Libya in the 90s was all so painful. Government actions aimed at exploiting the underground water sources and pipelines which could irrigate crops would make this nearly 7-million state largely self-sufficient. It could upset the Western powers, which feared Libya supporting terrorism again, but it could also mean that Gaddafi's even bolder policy would lead completely independence of the great powers.

Another factor that influenced Libya's independence was the fact that thanks to the positive commercial balance this country was not only one of the least indebted countries, but it also had significant gold reserves. One of the first decision of the rebel government in Benghazi, not for no reason, was the creation of its own central bank. For the bankrupting and massively indebted Western countries this oil-rich country, for which they would become creditors, or at least they would trade without looking at the whim of the dictator, could be a very tasty morsel.

So we have water, gold, markets, and oil. All these factors have one common denominator, which is independence. At the time when most countries undergoing globalization without resistance accept the impose rules of the game, Libya was one of the few who wanted to play in their own way.

What you can see and what you cannot see

The decision to launch the operation "Odyssey Dawn" was incredibly fast. Given the problems the Western powers are now currently facing, their leaders should think twice before they decide to launch another costly war. But it was not so. The diplomatic pressure alone was extremely short lasting, while Barack Obama himself was silent on this issue for 6 days before they took the stand. What was he doing and who did he speak to then?

The war continues. Sometimes disturbing reports come to light about the activities of insurgent forces, like these of July 20, when Daily Telegraph reported finding the headless bodies in Libyan uniforms. The bodies were hidden in a water tank, contaminating it effectively. At the same time, the newspaper informed about completely destroyed villages inhabited by tribes that supported Gaddafi.

What kind of future?

Gaddafi, this nearly seventy-year old politician today is one of the most colorful and most controversial figures of the second half of the twentieth century. He ruled his country with a firm hand for over forty years, and until recently one could believe that after his death Libya would plunge into civil war, in which the Libyan tribes would fight for the succession. But it turned out that the war broke out already in his lifetime. It's just that the native tribes played a secondary role in it.

The war in Iraq was a war for oil, Afghanistan is the control drug production. What does control of Libya give? Oil, huge water resources under the desert, close to the coasts of Europe - all this means that Libya will not be left alone. The worst scenario for the "defenders of democracy" is that the country will be divided into two areas of influence in a constant state of cold war, just as Korea. The largest oil reserves are located in the east of the country. Whatever one may write about the war of the dictator, the World will never forget the faces of family members of the victims of Lockerbee.

Tuesday, August 23, 2011

Libya - the dictator's war

After a long time, on 15 August the Libyans were again able to hear the voice of Muammar Gaddafi on the radio. The Libyan leader urged his citizens to armed struggle, which would free the country from the "traitors and NATO." Although it will soon be six months since NATO troops have launched operation "Odyssey Dawn," the dictator, as he had previously announced, does not intend to give up and wants to fight to the end. The end of what? Does Libya have any special meaning? What is it that it has, if it can mobilize a well-equipped army? Why did the Western countries agree so quickly? Is not this Africa where millions of people die without any attention? Why is it that for some charity music concerts are held, and for the others millions of dollars are spent on bombs? Seen in this light, what is the history of the man whose faith is watched by the whole world? 

Right after Fidel 

After Fidel Castro's resignation from office, he became the longest-ruling non-monarch in the world. At the same time, however, he never served as president or prime minister, using the title of the leader of the revolution and firmly maintaining that power in Libya belongs to the people. He started as a revolutionary and would soon become a terrorist financing bombings, but later became docile when put up against the wall. He would be a guest of presidents and prime ministers of major world powers. 

Muammar Gaddafi was, for many years, a politician supporting terrorism. It was him ho after a three-year trial was found responsible for funding the attacks which ended in crash of a Pan Am airplane in Lockerbee, southern Scotland, in 1988. The support for terrorists officially ended when an embargo was posed contributing to the country's destabilization. However, this did not result in Gaddafi being overthrown. He became more liberal after a couple of years, paid huge compensation and, which probably turned out the decisive factor, he opened the national market for western companies. The dictator decided to buy a pardon and became a figure if not accepted, then surely tolerated on the international arena. He was regarded as an impulsive eccentric who, during a foreign visit never slept in a building, ordering a Bedouin tent pitch to be put up on a hotel lawn. The essence of his character transpires from a scandal that occurred several years ago when his son was arrested by the Swiss police for mistreatment of service. Gaddafi immediately ordered all Swiss companies to leave Libya and the postulated in the international forum the partition of Switzerland. Despite these excesses he was tolerated, while enjoying special affinity with the Italian Prime Minister, Sylvio Berlusconi. 

Money coming from oil trade was well invested. Libya is a poor, desert country in which infrastructure, including hospitals and schools, was built. Unlike its neighbors, it has a relatively low degree of illiteracy and few Libyans decided to emigrate. 

Day of Wrath and Al-Qaeda 

Under the banner of democratization of Islamic countries, American analysts have created a concept of "Greater Middle East". This idea to be realized requires a part of local rulers to be removed. Therefore it is hard to believe that the so-called "Arab Spring" was a spontaneous grassroots movement of people fed up with dictatorship. Just as during the "revolution" in Serbia, Kiev or Georgia, the people who inspired the movements, had undergone training in American NGOs. The events of 2011 differed only in that the protesters made full use of modern means of communication such as Facebook and Twitter. 

When the former rulers were overthrown in Tunisia and Egypt, it seemed that it was time for Libya, but here, as it turned out, the case was not that simple. 

I find it puzzling that in an interview given for the BBC on February 28, Gaddafi claimed that Al-Qaeda stands behind all the revolutions in the Arab world. These words were confirmed in an announcement of 15 August, when he said that the rebels are Al-Qaeda's agents. Al-Qaeda operating for the U.S.? When someone is accustomed to what (s)he hears in the major mass media, (s)he may be surprised because officially this organization is in open conflict with the countries of the West. In fact, many analysts have for years been pointing out that both Al Qaeda and its famous allegedly late leader, Osama Bin Laden, were from the beginning under the control of the CIA. 

Gaddafi's words about al-Qaeda influences in Benghazi and the surrounding area can be confirmed by the fact that the eastern part of the country for years was a center where Al-Qaeda recruited the largest number of suicide bombers, it is where the leader of the Syrian rebellion fled after its brutal suppression by the army of president Assad. 

The eastern city of Benghazi is where the protests first started, and then a rebel movement against the government of Gaddafi concentrated, is one more important reason. The city is host to many foreign oil companies that have obtained access to Libyan economy after the first Gulf War. 

The question of the rebels' equipment remains unclear. Already one week after beginning of the riots it turned out that they were armed to the extent that allowed to defeat the regular Libyan army. Were they also trained? When on March 19, 2011 operation "Odyssey Dawn" started, information showed up saying that Western aid to the rebels does not only include bombing the government buildings, but also sending weapons. Before his mysterious death on July 28, Gen. Abdul Fattah Younis, a former cabinet minister and leader of the rebel army, admitted that they receive arms delivery from the "friends" whose identity he did not want to reveal. At the same time Great Britain admitted sending about 1,000 sets of body armor for the infantry. 

Causes of war - conspiracy theory? 

When we take into account the fact that Gaddafi enjoyed a relative support among his citizens and that the revolutions were inspired from the outside, it good to ask yourself what led the U.S., Britain and France to take part in the attack on Libya? For several months a few reasons reasons are officially given. 

A piece of information which appeared on the Internet after the start of the civil war in Libya caused a lot of noise. It was said that this country was carrying out a huge investment in the form of irrigation system, which by means of large pumps and piping was to deliver precious water from underground springs beneath the Sahara. This country, though rich in oil, is affected by continuous water and food deficits. This is partly the reason why the embargo imposed on Libya in the 90s was all so painful. Government actions aimed at exploiting the underground water sources and pipelines which could irrigate crops would make this nearly 7-million state largely self-sufficient. It could upset the Western powers, which feared Libya supporting terrorism again, but it could also mean that Gaddafi's even bolder policy would lead completely independence of the great powers. 

Another factor that influenced Libya's independence was the fact that thanks to the positive commercial balance this country was not only one of the least indebted countries, but it also had significant gold reserves. One of the first decision of the rebel government in Benghazi, not for no reason, was the creation of its own central bank. For the bankrupting and massively indebted Western countries this oil-rich country, for which they would become creditors, or at least they would trade without looking at the whim of the dictator, could be a very tasty morsel. 

So we have water, gold, markets, and oil. All these factors have one common denominator, which is independence. At the time when most countries undergoing globalization without resistance accept the impose rules of the game, Libya was one of the few who wanted to play in their own way. 

What you can see and what you cannot see 

The decision to launch the operation "Odyssey Dawn" was incredibly fast. Given the problems the Western powers are now currently facing, their leaders should think twice before they decide to launch another costly war. But it was not so. The diplomatic pressure alone was extremely short lasting, while Barack Obama himself was silent on this issue for 6 days before they took the stand. What was he doing and who did he speak to then? 

The war continues. Sometimes disturbing reports come to light about the activities of insurgent forces, like these of July 20, when Daily Telegraph reported finding the headless bodies in Libyan uniforms. The bodies were hidden in a water tank, contaminating it effectively. At the same time, the newspaper informed about completely destroyed villages inhabited by tribes that supported Gaddafi. 

What kind of future? 

Gaddafi, this nearly seventy-year old politician today is one of the most colorful and most controversial figures of the second half of the twentieth century. He ruled his country with a firm hand for over forty years, and until recently one could believe that after his death Libya would plunge into civil war, in which the Libyan tribes would fight for the succession. But it turned out that the war broke out already in his lifetime. It's just that the native tribes played a secondary role in it. 

The war in Iraq was a war for oil, Afghanistan is the control drug production. What does control of Libya give? Oil, huge water resources under the desert, close to the coasts of Europe - all this means that Libya will not be left alone. The worst scenario for the "defenders of democracy" is that the country will be divided into two areas of influence in a constant state of cold war, just as Korea. The largest oil reserves are located in the east of the country. Whatever one may write about the war of the dictator, the World will never forget the faces of family members of the victims of Lockerbee.


Sunday, February 20, 2011

Egypt part2

The powerful in their opinion Americans have lost their patience and against the Israeli interest their president is insisting on egyptian president to resign. Inconsistency goes after incosistency. We can easily notice, that as the British say, great nations have no friends, only their interests matter. As a matter of fact, revolution will not only weaker US position, but can also shake the construction of the New World order steered by the country’s elites. From this perspective this move seems to be completely out of sense, for many even stupid, but who knows who made the Americans deal with? The change of power in Egypt can harden all the groups against such policies not only in the Middle East, but also in Europe or Russia. Muslim Brotherhood strongly claims the fact, that it wants to be active against the “hegemony and barbarian globalization”. Until the end of 2010, under Mubarak's rule, Egypt at the first sight seemed to be a stabile and strong, but in fact it was like a loose cannon with permanent 30-year-long martial law, established after Mubarak got to power in 1981. Despite that, Egypt remained at some level “pacified” Earlier it was that country which was one of the main actor of repeating Arab-Jewish conflicts. The revolution we are observing nowadays gives a profit to everyone who is not interested in world peace and wants to arm the mechanism and blow the bomb in the largest scale it is possible. There is not such thing as the situation where everybody lose during the conflict, a great war need money, an enormous investments on arms - it is a great occasion to take a profit. Very often the revolutions have its source in hidden conspiracies, so that it is very possible, that for some people Hosni Mubarak was not useful anymore and it is a time for him to leave with no ovations the scene of the theatre called the Middle East. We are waiting for the next scene of the performance.
What meaning have the alliances and all the ensures about the life-long friendship? How much are the pacts worth when they rapidly come to past. How can we feel safe living in the part of the world we did not even choose? Is this anti-missile shield is in this context the real promise of defensive shield or in the future it would be only another rocking the boat? In our eyes the revolution blows all the schemes we knew Maybe this middle-eastern revolution has its second bottom? Maybe we should have a look on sources of great turnovers?