This year there will be four years since the beginning of russian-georgian war. Since that time there are still tensions between both states, nevertheless the puzzle is much more complicated.
There is probability, that the conflict which can start between Iran and Israel can easily spread across neighbouring countries. The first, which will be endangered at the first time is surely Syria. Its president who still remains in power, Bashar Al-Assad had noticed that:
"Syria is the hub now in this region. It is the fault line, and if you play with the ground you will cause an earthquake."
One look at the map will prove that Assad can be right. Syria can be considered as the gate into the Middle East.
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| Vladimir Zhirinovsky/ fot. A. Sdobnikov |
But north to Syria there is also another important and dangerous region - Southern Caucasus, where local states are not only bordering but they are also closely connected with the states which will most probably engage in the coming conflict (Russia, Turkey, Israel, Iran). They have their own interests as well.
Let's call up here the words of famous controversial Russian politician, Vladimir Zhirinovsky. He claims that The Third World War will break this summer:
“Azerbaijan might take advantage of that state to re-seize Nagorno Karabakh. TheRepublic of Armenia will act in opposition to it, while Turkey will support Azerbaijan. That’s how we’ll (Russia - VO) in summer be caught in a war”
Not very optimistic perspective, but is it possible to come true? What would Georgia do?
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